IPEの果樹園2023

今週のReview

10/23-28

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ハマスとネタニヤフ ・・・イスラエル、ガザ侵攻 ・・・中東外交 ・・・労働党大会 ・・・気候変動 ・・・ポーランド ・・・共和党、US議会 ・・・帝国、パックス・アメリカーナ ・・・日本、マンホール、消費 ・・・EU政治、エネルギー、トルコ ・・・金融市場、金融政策 ・・・世界経済・政治、US外交 ・・・US経済 ・・・国際金融制度改革 ・・・台湾、US外交 ・・・アルゼンチン ・・・ウクライナ戦争 ・・・中国経済、一帯一路 ・・・AI政府間パネル、インターネット監視

Review関連コラム集]

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主要な出典 FP: Foreign Policy, FT: Financial Times, The Guardian, NYT: New York Times, PS: Project Syndicate, VOX: VoxEU.orgそして、The Economist (London)

[これは英文コラムの紹介です.私の関心に従って,www.DeepL.com/Translator(無料版)、Google翻訳を基に修正し、要点を紹介しています.正しい内容は必ず自分で確かめてください.著者と掲載機関の著作権に従います.] 

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 ハマスとネタニヤフ

The Guardian, Fri 13 Oct 2023

After the pogrom in Israel, the angel of death is licking his lips

Jonathan Freedland

The Guardian, Fri 13 Oct 2023

Hamas may have pushed Israelis into a far darker place than Netanyahu ever dreamed of

Dahlia Scheindlin

PS Oct 13, 2023

The Real Dividing Line in Israel-Palestine

SLAVOJ ŽIŽEK

NYT Oct. 13, 2023

I’m Going to War for Israel. Palestinians Are Not My Enemy.

By Nir Avishai Cohen

NYT Oct. 13, 2023

The Pathways to Peace Are Getting Darker

By Dahlia Scheindlin

FP OCTOBER 12, 2023

Hamas’s Strategy of Failure

By Daniel Byman, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and professor at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service.

FT October 14, 2023

Sari Nusseibeh: Our dream of a future for both peoples is the victim of this tragedy

Sari Nusseibeh

NYT Oct. 14, 2023

Israel Can Defend Itself and Uphold Its Values

By The Editorial Board

NYT Oct. 14, 2023

Why Israel Is Acting This Way

By Thomas L. Friedman

NYT Oct. 14, 2023

What Does Destroying Gaza Solve?

By Nicholas Kristof

NYT Oct. 14, 2023

There Is a Jewish Hope for Palestinian Liberation. It Must Survive.

By Peter Beinart

FT October 16, 2023

Why has the world abandoned us?’ Palestinians in Gaza plead for humanitarian relief

Mai Khaled in Rafah and Heba Saleh in Cairo

NYT Oct. 15, 2023

Hamas Bears the Blame for Every Death in This War

By Bret Stephens

NYT Oct. 15, 2023

The Moral Questions at the Heart of the Gaza War

By David French

FT October 17, 2023

Humanity must prevail in Gaza

Philippe Lazzarini and Martin Griffiths

FP OCTOBER 17, 2023

Netanyahu Hasn’t Just Lost His Credibility on Security

By David E. Rosenberg, the economics editor and a columnist for the English edition of Haaretz and the author of Israel’s Technology Economy.

FT October 19, 2023

Fallout from Gaza hospital blast clouds Joe Biden’s Israel trip

James Politi and Felicia Schwartz in Washington

NYT Oct. 18, 2023

Netanyahu Led Us to Catastrophe. He Must Go.

By Gershom Gorenberg

The Guardian, Thu 19 Oct 2023

When the fog of war envelops everything, we owe it to those who suffer to admit doubt

Gaby Hinsliff

The Guardian, Thu 19 Oct 2023

I lost my parents in the Hamas attack. My family want peace, not revenge for their deaths

Magen Inon

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 イスラエル、ガザ侵攻

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

Israel Prepares for Block-by-Block Warfare in Gaza

By Jack Detsch and Anusha Rathi

The Observer, Sat 14 Oct 2023

The Observer view on the response to Hamas’s terrorist attack: amid its grief, Israel must act with care

Observer editorial

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

Vengeance Is Not a Policy

By Ian S. Lustick, an emeritus professor at the University of Pennsylvania and the author of Paradigm Lost: From Two-State Solution to One-State Reality.

FP OCTOBER 14, 2023

Can Israel Handle a War on 2 Fronts?

By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy.

The Guardian, Sun 15 Oct 2023

Hamas’s barbarism does not justify the collective punishment of Palestinians

Kenan Malik

FT October 16, 2023

Israel faces a vicious underground battle against Hamas

Daphné Richemond-Barak

NYT Oct. 16, 2023

Why a Gaza Invasion and ‘Once and for All’ Thinking Are Wrong for Israel

By Thomas L. Friedman

NYT Oct. 16, 2023

I Saw What Happened to America’s Postwar Plans for Iraq. Here’s How Israel Should Plan for Gaza.

By Thomas S. Warrick

NYT Oct. 18, 2023

Are There Lessons for Israel From America’s Response to 9/11?

By Ross Douthat

NYT Oct. 17, 2023

Invading Gaza Now Is a Mistake

By Farah Stockman

FP OCTOBER 18, 2023

This War Is Wrought With Historical Trauma

By Daniel Seidemann

FT October 20, 2023

Israel plans buffer zone in Gaza after Hamas war

James Shotter in Sderot and Neri Zilber in Tel Aviv

PS Oct 19, 2023

Gaza’s Never-Ending Catastrophe

DAOUD KUTTAB

NYT Oct. 19, 2023

What It Takes to Choose Life Over Revenge

By Ayman Odeh

NYT Oct. 18, 2023

An Evolving Moral High Ground in the Israel-Gaza War

By Charles M. Blow

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 中東外交

FT October 13, 2023

Mission impossible’? Antony Blinken seeks restraint as Middle East sabres rattle

Felicia Schwartz in Washington

FT October 14, 2023

Israel at war: an explosive moment in the Middle East

FT October 13, 2023

Western diplomats are walking an impossible tightrope with Israel

Gideon Rachman

NYT Oct. 12, 2023

The Missed Chance for Peace

By David Brooks

FP OCTOBER 12, 2023

Has Washington’s Middle East Policy Failed?

By Emma Ashford, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a senior fellow with the Reimagining U.S. Grand Strategy program at the Stimson Center, and Matthew Kroenig, a columnist at Foreign Policy and vice president and senior director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

The 1973 War Analogy Is Deeper Than You Think

By Kenneth M. Pollack, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

The Peril in Declaring ‘I Stand With Israel’

By Howard W. French, a columnist at Foreign Policy.

FP OCTOBER 12, 2023

Modi’s Comments on Israel-Gaza War Signal Shift

By Sumit Ganguly, a columnist at Foreign Policy and visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, and Nicolas Blarel, an associate professor at Leiden University.

NYT Oct. 14, 2023

The Israel-Gaza War Means Hard Choices for Ukraine

By Ross Douthat

The Guardian, Sun 15 Oct 2023

I remember the times when Palestinians dared to hope for peace. How did it come to this?

Raja Shehadeh

FT October 16, 2023

US warns Iran against escalating Israel-Hamas war into regional conflict

John Reed in Jerusalem, Neri Zilber in Tel Aviv, Lauren Fedor in Washington and Heba Saleh in Cairo

NYT Oct. 15, 2023

The U.S. Should Think Twice About Israel’s Plans for Gaza

By Rashid Khalidi

FT October 16, 2023

Supporting Israel and protecting Palestinians are not contradictory policies

Gideon Rachman

The Guardian, Tue 17 Oct 2023

It lifted my grieving heart to join crowds in London on the March for Palestine. We need more of them

Nimer Sultany

The Guardian, Tue 17 Oct 2023

The Guardian view on Biden’s urgent mission: the US pivots back to the Middle East

Editorial

FT October 18, 2023

Iran is positioning itself to benefit from the Israel-Gaza conflict

Suzanne Maloney

FT October 18, 2023

The laws of war must guide Israel’s response to Hamas atrocity

From Lord Neuberger, Former President of the UK Supreme Court, Philippe Sands, KC, Sandra Fredman, University of Oxford, Richard Hermer, KC, Danny Friedman, KC, Anthony Metzer, KC, Jon Turner, KC, Adam Wagner

NYT Oct. 17, 2023

President Biden’s Finest Hour

By Bret Stephens

FP OCTOBER 17, 2023

What Putin Stands to Gain From Israel-Hamas War

By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, a Pentagon and national security reporter at Foreign Policy.

FP OCTOBER 17, 2023

Why the U.S. Tolerates Qatar’s Hamas Ties

By Steven A. Cook, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies at the Council on Foreign Relations.

FP OCTOBER 16, 2023

Will Hezbollah Hold Back or Escalate?

By Hanin Ghaddar, the Friedmann senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

The Guardian, Wed 18 Oct 2023

Joe Biden’s peace mission to Israel exposed the limits of US global influence

Martin Kettle

The Guardian, Wed 18 Oct 2023

UK politicians have got it wrong on the Israel-Hamas war. We must hold them to account

Owen Jones

PS Oct 18, 2023

After Gaza

CARL BILDT

FP OCTOBER 18, 2023

America Is a Root Cause of Israel and Palestine’s Latest War

By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

FP OCTOBER 17, 2023

The Israel-Hamas War Is Testing China’s Diplomatic Strategy

By Lili Pike

FP OCTOBER 18, 2023

Lebanon Knows It Is on the Edge of the Abyss

By Anchal Vohra, a columnist at Foreign Policy.

The Guardian, Thu 19 Oct 2023

The Guardian view on Israel’s allies: warm words and soft warnings

Editorial

FT October 19, 2023

Israel-Hamas war hits close to home for Europe’s Muslims

Leila Abboud in Paris, Guy Chazan in Berlin, William Wallis in London, and Patricia Nilsson in Frankfurt

NYT Oct. 19, 2023

Biden’s Unspoken Message in Israel

By David Firestone

FP OCTOBER 19, 2023

How Israel’s Spies Failed—and Why Escalation Could Be Catastrophic

By Uri Bar-Joseph, a professor emeritus in the Department for International Relations of the School for Political Science at Haifa University in Israel, and Avner Cohen, a professor in the Nonproliferation and Terrorism Studies (NPTS) at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey in California.

FP OCTOBER 19, 2023

The End of Biden’s Middle East Mirage

By Matthew Duss, Executive Vice-President at the Center for International Policy. He served as foreign-policy advisor to U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders from 2017-22.

FP OCTOBER 19, 2023

Where Does Russia Stand on the Israel-Hamas War?

By Hanna Notte, the director of the Eurasia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies and a nonresident senior associate with the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

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 労働党大会

The Guardian, Fri 13 Oct 2023

I went to Labour conference in search of its plans for radical reform – what I found gave me hope

Polly Toynbee

FT October 13, 2023

Labour has smartened up for power — but has yet to be tested

Camilla Cavendish

FT October 15, 2023

Plenty of time for Keir Starmer’s sheen to fade

Tim Bale

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 女性の労働

FT October 13, 2023

How Claudia Goldin transformed our understanding of women and work

Soumaya Keynes

NYT Oct. 12, 2023

An Economics Nobel for Showing How Much Women Matter

By Paul Krugman

PS Oct 17, 2023

Compensating Community-Health Workers

LENNIE BAZIRA and PROSSY MUYINGO

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 インド政治

PS Oct 13, 2023

The Cricket Factor in Indian Politics

SHASHI THAROOR

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 気候変動

PS Oct 13, 2023

Let Them Drink Oil

DICKENS KAMUGISHA

PS Oct 16, 2023

What Can COP28 Achieve?

GEOFFREY HEAL

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 ポーランド

PS Oct 13, 2023

Fear and Loathing in Poland

AGNIESZKA HOLLAND interviewed by IRENA GRUDZIŃSKA GROSS

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

The Future of European Integration Hinges on Poland

By Nicholas Lokker, a research associate at the Center for a New American Security.

The Guardian, Mon 16 Oct 2023

With this election victory, Poland is smiling again – and that’s good for all of Europe

Timothy Garton Ash

The Guardian, Mon 16 Oct 2023

The Guardian view on Poland’s election: a record turnout delivers a landmark result

Editorial

FT October 17, 2023

The path to liberal democracy reopens in Poland

FT October 16, 2023

Poland’s democratic health appears better than many feared

Ben Hall

PS Oct 16, 2023

Poland’s Ruling Party Lost, but Will It Leave?

MACIEJ KISILOWSKI

FT October 18, 2023

Poles celebrate a victory for pluralism over populism

Jarosław Kuisz

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 共和党、US議会

NYT Oct. 13, 2023

This Is How the Republican Party Got Southernized

By Jamelle Bouie

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

We’re Just Not Able to Function Right Now’

By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy.

FP OCTOBER 16, 2023

How Congressional Chaos Hampers U.S. Aid to Israel, Ukraine

By Robbie Gramer

FT October 18, 2023

The kamikazes on America’s Capitol Hill

NYT Oct. 18, 2023

Can an Unpopular Populist Still Damage Democracy?

By Thomas B. Edsall

NYT Oct. 18, 2023

Exxon Mobil’s Pioneer Acquisition Is a Direct Threat to Democracy

By Jeff D. Colgan

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 帝国、パックス・アメリカーナ

FP OCTOBER 13, 2023

Getting Rome Right and America Wrong

By Bret Devereaux, a historian specializing in the Roman economy and military.

NYT Oct. 16, 2023

The Strange Decline of the Pax Americana

By Paul Krugman

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 日本、マンホール、消費

FT October 14, 2023

Collection mania is coming for Japan’s majestic manhole covers

Leo Lewis

FT October 18, 2023

Japanese consumption is suffering from a pandemic-era shift

David Keohane

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 EU政治、エネルギー、トルコ

FT October 15, 2023

The nuclear dispute driving a wedge between France and Germany

Sarah White in Fessenheim, Alice Hancock in Brussels and Laura Pitel in Berlin

The Guardian, Tue 17 Oct 2023

Europe seeks peace, not war. But will it be ready if war comes to Europe?

Volodymyr Yermolenko

FT October 19, 2023

History casts a long shadow over EU’s enlargement plans

Tony Barber

PS Oct 18, 2023

The EU and Turkey Need Each Other

ANA PALACIO

VoxEU / 18 Oct 2023

Reboot of the UK-EU relationship in financial services regulation

Thorsten Beck, Christy Ann Petit

FP OCTOBER 18, 2023

The EU Has Failed in Serbia and Kosovo

By Aleks Eror, a journalist and political consultant from Belgrade.

FT October 19, 2023

Countries are seeking economic security in a turbulent world

Alan Beattie

FT October 19, 2023

Italian coalition members risk another clash with investors

Silvia Sciorilli Borrelli

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 金融市場、金融政策

FT October 15, 2023

Geopolitical volatility returns to the financial markets

FT October 16, 2023

The dollar has joined the commodity currency club

Rebecca Patterson

FT October 17, 2023

US bond market is losing its strategic footing

Mohamed El-Erian

PS Oct 18, 2023

Advanced Economies Must Face Fiscal Reality

MICHAEL J. BOSKIN

FT October 20, 2023

That 2% inflation target may not be sacred for much longer

Gillian Tett

FT October 20, 2023

How to prevent AI from provoking the next financial crisis

FT October 19, 2023

Back to the analogue age: the SEC’s threat to fund management

Jack Inglis

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 ホームレス

NYT Oct. 15, 2023

Why New York Needs a Right to Shelter

By Mara Gay

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 世界経済・政治、US外交

FP OCTOBER 15, 2023

What the Israel-Hamas War Means for the World Economy

By Cameron Abadi, a deputy editor at Foreign Policy, and Adam Tooze, a columnist at Foreign Policy and director of the European Institute at Columbia University. Sign up for Adam’s Chartbook newsletter here.

FT October 16, 2023

Do not underestimate the ‘mega-Brussels effect’ of EU-US co-ordination

Peter Orszag

FT October 17, 2023

America finds there is more to the world than China

Janan Ganesh

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 US経済

FT October 16, 2023

Housing remains America’s biggest supply chain problem

Rana Foroohar

PS Oct 16, 2023

Boiling America’s Economy

ANNE O. KRUEGER

PS Oct 17, 2023

What Poor Children Need

MICHAEL R. STRAIN and HARRY J. HOLZER

FT October 18, 2023

Rebuilding US industry via green transition makes no sense

Oren Cass

NYT Oct. 17, 2023

Soft Landing, Here We Come?

By Paul Krugman

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 国際金融制度改革

PS Oct 16, 2023

Making the International Financial System Work

CHRYSOULA ZACHAROPOULOU and RANIA AL-MASHAT

FT October 18, 2023

How to finance a faster shift to a better world

Martin Wolf

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 台湾、US外交

NYT Oct. 16, 2023

This Is What America Is Getting Wrong About China and Taiwan

By Oriana Skylar Mastro

PS Oct 19, 2023

The G7’s Anti-Coercion Campaign Against China Could Backfire

LILI YAN ING

FP OCTOBER 19, 2023

Biden Turns a Few More Screws on China’s Chip Industry

By Rishi Iyengar

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 アルゼンチン

FT October 18, 2023

Populism is not the way to prosperity for Argentina

FT October 18, 2023

The radical outsider promising to cure Argentina’s economic ills

Michael Stott and Ciara Nugent in Buenos Aires

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 タックス・ヘイブン

FT October 17, 2023

Wealth flight: should we care when the rich threaten to go into tax exile?

Rhymer Rigby

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 ナゴルノ・カラバフ

PS Oct 17, 2023

The West Should Avoid Nagorno-Karabakh

SHLOMO BEN-AMI

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 ウクライナ戦争

PS Oct 17, 2023

Russia’s Defeat Must Be Democracies’ Goal

ANASTASSIA FEDYK, YURIY GORODNICHENKO, and ILONA SOLOGOUB

The Guardian, Wed 18 Oct 2023

The Guardian view on support for Ukraine: Kyiv stands strong, but others are faltering

Editorial

FT October 18, 2023

In the pursuit of small pleasures, Kyiv residents exercise resistance

John Paul Rathbone

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 中国経済、一帯一路

FP OCTOBER 17, 2023

Maybe China’s Economy Isn’t So Doomed

By Bob Davis, a reporter who covered U.S.-China economic relations for decades for the Wall Street Journal.

FP OCTOBER 19, 2023

The Belt and Road Ahead

By Lili Pike

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 ラテンアメリカ

FP OCTOBER 17, 2023

Latin America’s Tradition of Protest Is Under Threat

By Benjamin N. Gedan, deputy director of the Wilson Center’s Latin American program.

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 ロンドンの未来

FT October 19, 2023

What will the London of the future look like?

Deyan Sudjic

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 AI政府間パネル、インターネット監視

FT October 19, 2023

Mustafa Suleyman and Eric Schmidt: We need an AI equivalent of the IPCC

Mustafa Suleyman and Eric Schmidt

PS Oct 19, 2023

Curbing Government Internet Surveillance

RIANA PFEFFERKORN and CALLUM VOGE

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The Economist October 7th 2023

Are free markets history?

African politics: Losing faith in democracy

Violence in the Caribbean: Awash with American guns

Sudan’s civil war: The return of genocide in Darfur

Peacekeeping in Somalia: Mission unaccomplished

Egypt’s election: Deaf on the Nile

Homeland economics: Redividing the world

Charlemagne: The migrant paradox

The coups will continue: Africa’s broken politics

Buttonwood: Hidden dragon

Global warming: Green light

(コメント) 市場自由化、グローバリゼーションは、EUだけでなく、US、アフリカや南米、ユーラシア大陸でも、もはや信用を失い、逆転するための大規模な政策転換が始まっています。「自由市場」は死語になるのか。

カリブ海諸国にあふれる銃器、アフリカの独裁と暴力に圧倒されます。選挙は民主主義の理想を実現しませんでした。それを助けるはずのアメリカは、グローバリゼーションより、中国の台頭とトランプを恐れて、莫大な補助金を再工業化に費やします。

中国との断絶や温暖化阻止の過程で、自由市場を再発見する、と考えます。

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IPEの想像力 10/23/2023

市民的な秩序を回復するために、なんとかしてテロや空爆をやめさせたい。国連総会や安保理、あるいは、アメリカ外交にも、解決を期待できないのであれば、どうしたらよいのか。

私は考えました。政府と民間からなる国際義勇軍を組織し、ガザ地区の北から、およそ10キロ余りの非常線を張って、ハマス兵士の拘束と排除とを進めます。非常線は、市民生活を守ることを宣言し、少しずつ南下していきます。銃器を没収し、軍事拠点を封鎖しながら、非暴力の支援活動や市民生活を損なわないよう、各地区の市民代表たちが確認します。

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The Economistの記事は、アフリカのクーデタ地帯が拡大しており(ギニア、スーダン、マリ、ブルキナファソ、ナイジェリア、チャド、そして中央アフリカ共和国、ウガンダ、コンゴ民主共和国へ)、それを抑える仕組みや勢力がないことを懸念します。

人口の半分以上が若者であり、彼・彼女たちは独裁者を倒した後、改善されない経済状態、食糧の価格高騰、特に、十分な雇用機会がないことで、民主主義への失望を強めています。ポピュリストや軍事政権が経済運営を改善するとは思えません。

アフリカが急速に戦争・内戦を抜け出し、民主的な統治、積極的な投資と雇用によって経済成長を実現するようになった。そういう記事を読んだのは、何年くらい前のことだったか。

食糧生産や環境問題にも、革新的な方法で、新興諸国が取り組み始めた。旧工業諸国や老人大国には受入れがむつかしい投資でも、それを積極的に成長の機会にできる国がある。そういう記事も読みました。

安全と教育への投資に全力で取り組む、民主的な指導者のいる都市や地域に、輸出向けの生産拠点が雇用を拡大するとき、アフリカ全体のダイナミズムがもたらす雇用や利益を全世界が享受できます。

平和と民主主義を支持する土地と、ダイナミックな企業を探して、投資情報を集めるエンジェル投資家集団が民間資本の流れを促進するような国際システムに変わっていく。そういう記事も読みました。

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富裕諸国は移民・難民危機を再現しています。移民排斥の声が高まり、難民たちのボートは地中海を漂流し、難破して多くの犠牲者が出ています。

イギリスの保守政権は難民をルワンダに移送し始めています。イタリア右派政権は難民を海岸線で阻止するため、EUとしての国境警備隊を拡充し、欧州委員会とともにアフリカ側の協力を得るため政府への資金供与を約束しました。

ヨーロッパの抱える問題は、少子化、高齢化、労働力不足です。医療サービスや高齢者の介護は、ますます移民労働者に依存を深めています。難民ではなく、労働者として、受け入れる制度的条件があれば、働きたいと思う難民たちが多くいると思います。

将来、ヨーロッパや日本の高齢者たちが暮らす村や町は、成長する新興都市や諸国のダイナミックな変化に参加する若者たちからの税金で維持されるでしょう。あるいは、高齢者たちを生活費や介護サービスの安価な土地へ輸出します。

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世の中のことに倦み、疲れたとき、池波正太郎の『鬼平犯科帳』を読み、あるいは『剣客商売』、『仕掛人・藤枝梅安』を読みます。忘れたころに、何度も。

ガザ地区にも、イスラエル兵士30万人が侵攻するより、鬼平を100人派遣する方がよいでしょう。その部下には、宗派や部族に関わらず、鬼平を信頼して社会正義に奉仕する者たちが集まります。

市民秩序のための非常線。それは、TEDでブライアン・スティーブンソンが語った夢想、黒人の若い被告男性を裕福な白人の高齢男性に変身させること、に少し似ているかもしれません。

「司法の不公正について話さなければなりません」

http://www.ted.com/talks/bryan_stevenson_we_need_to_talk_about_an_injustice.html

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