IPEの果樹園2023
今週のReview
10/23-28
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ハマスとネタニヤフ ・・・イスラエル、ガザ侵攻 ・・・中東外交 ・・・労働党大会 ・・・気候変動 ・・・ポーランド ・・・共和党、US議会 ・・・帝国、パックス・アメリカーナ ・・・日本、マンホール、消費 ・・・EU政治、エネルギー、トルコ ・・・金融市場、金融政策 ・・・世界経済・政治、US外交 ・・・US経済 ・・・国際金融制度改革 ・・・台湾、US外交 ・・・アルゼンチン ・・・ウクライナ戦争 ・・・中国経済、一帯一路 ・・・AI政府間パネル、インターネット監視
［Review関連コラム集］
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主要な出典 FP: Foreign Policy, FT: Financial Times, The Guardian, NYT: New York Times, PS: Project Syndicate, VOX: VoxEU.orgそして、The Economist (London)
［これは英文コラムの紹介です．私の関心に従って，www.DeepL.com/Translator（無料版）、Google翻訳を基に修正し、要点を紹介しています．正しい内容は必ず自分で確かめてください．著者と掲載機関の著作権に従います．］
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● ハマスとネタニヤフ
The Guardian, Fri 13 Oct 2023
After the pogrom in Israel, the angel of death is licking his lips
Jonathan Freedland
The Guardian, Fri 13 Oct 2023
Hamas may have pushed Israelis into a far darker place than Netanyahu ever dreamed of
Dahlia Scheindlin
PS Oct 13, 2023
The Real Dividing Line in Israel-Palestine
SLAVOJ ŽIŽEK
NYT Oct. 13, 2023
I’m Going to War for Israel. Palestinians Are Not My Enemy.
By Nir Avishai Cohen
NYT Oct. 13, 2023
The Pathways to Peace Are Getting Darker
By Dahlia Scheindlin
FP OCTOBER 12, 2023
Hamas’s Strategy of Failure
By Daniel Byman, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and professor at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service.
FT October 14, 2023
Sari Nusseibeh: Our dream of a future for both peoples is the victim of this tragedy
Sari Nusseibeh
NYT Oct. 14, 2023
Israel Can Defend Itself and Uphold Its Values
By The Editorial Board
NYT Oct. 14, 2023
Why Israel Is Acting This Way
By Thomas L. Friedman
NYT Oct. 14, 2023
What Does Destroying Gaza Solve?
By Nicholas Kristof
NYT Oct. 14, 2023
There Is a Jewish Hope for Palestinian Liberation. It Must Survive.
By Peter Beinart
FT October 16, 2023
‘Why has the world abandoned us?’ Palestinians in Gaza plead for humanitarian relief
Mai Khaled in Rafah and Heba Saleh in Cairo
NYT Oct. 15, 2023
Hamas Bears the Blame for Every Death in This War
By Bret Stephens
NYT Oct. 15, 2023
The Moral Questions at the Heart of the Gaza War
By David French
FT October 17, 2023
Humanity must prevail in Gaza
Philippe Lazzarini and Martin Griffiths
FP OCTOBER 17, 2023
Netanyahu Hasn’t Just Lost His Credibility on Security
By David E. Rosenberg, the economics editor and a columnist for the English edition of Haaretz and the author of Israel’s Technology Economy.
FT October 19, 2023
Fallout from Gaza hospital blast clouds Joe Biden’s Israel trip
James Politi and Felicia Schwartz in Washington
NYT Oct. 18, 2023
Netanyahu Led Us to Catastrophe. He Must Go.
By Gershom Gorenberg
The Guardian, Thu 19 Oct 2023
When the fog of war envelops everything, we owe it to those who suffer to admit doubt
Gaby Hinsliff
The Guardian, Thu 19 Oct 2023
I lost my parents in the Hamas attack. My family want peace, not revenge for their deaths
Magen Inon
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● イスラエル、ガザ侵攻
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
Israel Prepares for Block-by-Block Warfare in Gaza
By Jack Detsch and Anusha Rathi
The Observer, Sat 14 Oct 2023
The Observer view on the response to Hamas’s terrorist attack: amid its grief, Israel must act with care
Observer editorial
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
Vengeance Is Not a Policy
By Ian S. Lustick, an emeritus professor at the University of Pennsylvania and the author of Paradigm Lost: From Two-State Solution to One-State Reality.
FP OCTOBER 14, 2023
Can Israel Handle a War on 2 Fronts?
By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy.
The Guardian, Sun 15 Oct 2023
Hamas’s barbarism does not justify the collective punishment of Palestinians
Kenan Malik
FT October 16, 2023
Israel faces a vicious underground battle against Hamas
Daphné Richemond-Barak
NYT Oct. 16, 2023
Why a Gaza Invasion and ‘Once and for All’ Thinking Are Wrong for Israel
By Thomas L. Friedman
NYT Oct. 16, 2023
I Saw What Happened to America’s Postwar Plans for Iraq. Here’s How Israel Should Plan for Gaza.
By Thomas S. Warrick
NYT Oct. 18, 2023
Are There Lessons for Israel From America’s Response to 9/11?
By Ross Douthat
NYT Oct. 17, 2023
Invading Gaza Now Is a Mistake
By Farah Stockman
FP OCTOBER 18, 2023
This War Is Wrought With Historical Trauma
By Daniel Seidemann
FT October 20, 2023
Israel plans buffer zone in Gaza after Hamas war
James Shotter in Sderot and Neri Zilber in Tel Aviv
PS Oct 19, 2023
Gaza’s Never-Ending Catastrophe
DAOUD KUTTAB
NYT Oct. 19, 2023
What It Takes to Choose Life Over Revenge
By Ayman Odeh
NYT Oct. 18, 2023
An Evolving Moral High Ground in the Israel-Gaza War
By Charles M. Blow
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● 中東外交
FT October 13, 2023
‘Mission impossible’? Antony Blinken seeks restraint as Middle East sabres rattle
Felicia Schwartz in Washington
FT October 14, 2023
Israel at war: an explosive moment in the Middle East
FT October 13, 2023
Western diplomats are walking an impossible tightrope with Israel
Gideon Rachman
NYT Oct. 12, 2023
The Missed Chance for Peace
By David Brooks
FP OCTOBER 12, 2023
Has Washington’s Middle East Policy Failed?
By Emma Ashford, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a senior fellow with the Reimagining U.S. Grand Strategy program at the Stimson Center, and Matthew Kroenig, a columnist at Foreign Policy and vice president and senior director of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
The 1973 War Analogy Is Deeper Than You Think
By Kenneth M. Pollack, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
The Peril in Declaring ‘I Stand With Israel’
By Howard W. French, a columnist at Foreign Policy.
FP OCTOBER 12, 2023
Modi’s Comments on Israel-Gaza War Signal Shift
By Sumit Ganguly, a columnist at Foreign Policy and visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, and Nicolas Blarel, an associate professor at Leiden University.
NYT Oct. 14, 2023
The Israel-Gaza War Means Hard Choices for Ukraine
By Ross Douthat
The Guardian, Sun 15 Oct 2023
I remember the times when Palestinians dared to hope for peace. How did it come to this?
Raja Shehadeh
FT October 16, 2023
US warns Iran against escalating Israel-Hamas war into regional conflict
John Reed in Jerusalem, Neri Zilber in Tel Aviv, Lauren Fedor in Washington and Heba Saleh in Cairo
NYT Oct. 15, 2023
The U.S. Should Think Twice About Israel’s Plans for Gaza
By Rashid Khalidi
FT October 16, 2023
Supporting Israel and protecting Palestinians are not contradictory policies
Gideon Rachman
The Guardian, Tue 17 Oct 2023
It lifted my grieving heart to join crowds in London on the March for Palestine. We need more of them
Nimer Sultany
The Guardian, Tue 17 Oct 2023
The Guardian view on Biden’s urgent mission: the US pivots back to the Middle East
Editorial
FT October 18, 2023
Iran is positioning itself to benefit from the Israel-Gaza conflict
Suzanne Maloney
FT October 18, 2023
The laws of war must guide Israel’s response to Hamas atrocity
From Lord Neuberger, Former President of the UK Supreme Court, Philippe Sands, KC, Sandra Fredman, University of Oxford, Richard Hermer, KC, Danny Friedman, KC, Anthony Metzer, KC, Jon Turner, KC, Adam Wagner
NYT Oct. 17, 2023
President Biden’s Finest Hour
By Bret Stephens
FP OCTOBER 17, 2023
What Putin Stands to Gain From Israel-Hamas War
By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy, and Jack Detsch, a Pentagon and national security reporter at Foreign Policy.
FP OCTOBER 17, 2023
Why the U.S. Tolerates Qatar’s Hamas Ties
By Steven A. Cook, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies at the Council on Foreign Relations.
FP OCTOBER 16, 2023
Will Hezbollah Hold Back or Escalate?
By Hanin Ghaddar, the Friedmann senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
The Guardian, Wed 18 Oct 2023
Joe Biden’s peace mission to Israel exposed the limits of US global influence
Martin Kettle
The Guardian, Wed 18 Oct 2023
UK politicians have got it wrong on the Israel-Hamas war. We must hold them to account
Owen Jones
PS Oct 18, 2023
After Gaza
CARL BILDT
FP OCTOBER 18, 2023
America Is a Root Cause of Israel and Palestine’s Latest War
By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.
FP OCTOBER 17, 2023
The Israel-Hamas War Is Testing China’s Diplomatic Strategy
By Lili Pike
FP OCTOBER 18, 2023
Lebanon Knows It Is on the Edge of the Abyss
By Anchal Vohra, a columnist at Foreign Policy.
The Guardian, Thu 19 Oct 2023
The Guardian view on Israel’s allies: warm words and soft warnings
Editorial
FT October 19, 2023
Israel-Hamas war hits close to home for Europe’s Muslims
Leila Abboud in Paris, Guy Chazan in Berlin, William Wallis in London, and Patricia Nilsson in Frankfurt
NYT Oct. 19, 2023
Biden’s Unspoken Message in Israel
By David Firestone
FP OCTOBER 19, 2023
How Israel’s Spies Failed—and Why Escalation Could Be Catastrophic
By Uri Bar-Joseph, a professor emeritus in the Department for International Relations of the School for Political Science at Haifa University in Israel, and Avner Cohen, a professor in the Nonproliferation and Terrorism Studies (NPTS) at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey in California.
FP OCTOBER 19, 2023
The End of Biden’s Middle East Mirage
By Matthew Duss, Executive Vice-President at the Center for International Policy. He served as foreign-policy advisor to U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders from 2017-22.
FP OCTOBER 19, 2023
Where Does Russia Stand on the Israel-Hamas War?
By Hanna Notte, the director of the Eurasia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies and a nonresident senior associate with the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
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● 労働党大会
The Guardian, Fri 13 Oct 2023
I went to Labour conference in search of its plans for radical reform – what I found gave me hope
Polly Toynbee
FT October 13, 2023
Labour has smartened up for power — but has yet to be tested
Camilla Cavendish
FT October 15, 2023
Plenty of time for Keir Starmer’s sheen to fade
Tim Bale
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● 女性の労働
FT October 13, 2023
How Claudia Goldin transformed our understanding of women and work
Soumaya Keynes
NYT Oct. 12, 2023
An Economics Nobel for Showing How Much Women Matter
By Paul Krugman
PS Oct 17, 2023
Compensating Community-Health Workers
LENNIE BAZIRA and PROSSY MUYINGO
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● インド政治
PS Oct 13, 2023
The Cricket Factor in Indian Politics
SHASHI THAROOR
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● 気候変動
PS Oct 13, 2023
Let Them Drink Oil
DICKENS KAMUGISHA
PS Oct 16, 2023
What Can COP28 Achieve?
GEOFFREY HEAL
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● ポーランド
PS Oct 13, 2023
Fear and Loathing in Poland
AGNIESZKA HOLLAND interviewed by IRENA GRUDZIŃSKA GROSS
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
The Future of European Integration Hinges on Poland
By Nicholas Lokker, a research associate at the Center for a New American Security.
The Guardian, Mon 16 Oct 2023
With this election victory, Poland is smiling again – and that’s good for all of Europe
Timothy Garton Ash
The Guardian, Mon 16 Oct 2023
The Guardian view on Poland’s election: a record turnout delivers a landmark result
Editorial
FT October 17, 2023
The path to liberal democracy reopens in Poland
FT October 16, 2023
Poland’s democratic health appears better than many feared
Ben Hall
PS Oct 16, 2023
Poland’s Ruling Party Lost, but Will It Leave?
MACIEJ KISILOWSKI
FT October 18, 2023
Poles celebrate a victory for pluralism over populism
Jarosław Kuisz
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● 共和党、US議会
NYT Oct. 13, 2023
This Is How the Republican Party Got Southernized
By Jamelle Bouie
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
‘We’re Just Not Able to Function Right Now’
By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy.
FP OCTOBER 16, 2023
How Congressional Chaos Hampers U.S. Aid to Israel, Ukraine
By Robbie Gramer
FT October 18, 2023
The kamikazes on America’s Capitol Hill
NYT Oct. 18, 2023
Can an Unpopular Populist Still Damage Democracy?
By Thomas B. Edsall
NYT Oct. 18, 2023
Exxon Mobil’s Pioneer Acquisition Is a Direct Threat to Democracy
By Jeff D. Colgan
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● 帝国、パックス・アメリカーナ
FP OCTOBER 13, 2023
Getting Rome Right and America Wrong
By Bret Devereaux, a historian specializing in the Roman economy and military.
NYT Oct. 16, 2023
The Strange Decline of the Pax Americana
By Paul Krugman
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● 日本、マンホール、消費
FT October 14, 2023
Collection mania is coming for Japan’s majestic manhole covers
Leo Lewis
FT October 18, 2023
Japanese consumption is suffering from a pandemic-era shift
David Keohane
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● EU政治、エネルギー、トルコ
FT October 15, 2023
The nuclear dispute driving a wedge between France and Germany
Sarah White in Fessenheim, Alice Hancock in Brussels and Laura Pitel in Berlin
The Guardian, Tue 17 Oct 2023
Europe seeks peace, not war. But will it be ready if war comes to Europe?
Volodymyr Yermolenko
FT October 19, 2023
History casts a long shadow over EU’s enlargement plans
Tony Barber
PS Oct 18, 2023
The EU and Turkey Need Each Other
ANA PALACIO
VoxEU / 18 Oct 2023
Reboot of the UK-EU relationship in financial services regulation
Thorsten Beck, Christy Ann Petit
FP OCTOBER 18, 2023
The EU Has Failed in Serbia and Kosovo
By Aleks Eror, a journalist and political consultant from Belgrade.
FT October 19, 2023
Countries are seeking economic security in a turbulent world
Alan Beattie
FT October 19, 2023
Italian coalition members risk another clash with investors
Silvia Sciorilli Borrelli
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● 金融市場、金融政策
FT October 15, 2023
Geopolitical volatility returns to the financial markets
FT October 16, 2023
The dollar has joined the commodity currency club
Rebecca Patterson
FT October 17, 2023
US bond market is losing its strategic footing
Mohamed El-Erian
PS Oct 18, 2023
Advanced Economies Must Face Fiscal Reality
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN
FT October 20, 2023
That 2% inflation target may not be sacred for much longer
Gillian Tett
FT October 20, 2023
How to prevent AI from provoking the next financial crisis
FT October 19, 2023
Back to the analogue age: the SEC’s threat to fund management
Jack Inglis
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● ホームレス
NYT Oct. 15, 2023
Why New York Needs a Right to Shelter
By Mara Gay
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● 世界経済・政治、US外交
FP OCTOBER 15, 2023
What the Israel-Hamas War Means for the World Economy
By Cameron Abadi, a deputy editor at Foreign Policy, and Adam Tooze, a columnist at Foreign Policy and director of the European Institute at Columbia University. Sign up for Adam’s Chartbook newsletter here.
FT October 16, 2023
Do not underestimate the ‘mega-Brussels effect’ of EU-US co-ordination
Peter Orszag
FT October 17, 2023
America finds there is more to the world than China
Janan Ganesh
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● US経済
FT October 16, 2023
Housing remains America’s biggest supply chain problem
Rana Foroohar
PS Oct 16, 2023
Boiling America’s Economy
ANNE O. KRUEGER
PS Oct 17, 2023
What Poor Children Need
MICHAEL R. STRAIN and HARRY J. HOLZER
FT October 18, 2023
Rebuilding US industry via green transition makes no sense
Oren Cass
NYT Oct. 17, 2023
Soft Landing, Here We Come?
By Paul Krugman
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● 国際金融制度改革
PS Oct 16, 2023
Making the International Financial System Work
CHRYSOULA ZACHAROPOULOU and RANIA AL-MASHAT
FT October 18, 2023
How to finance a faster shift to a better world
Martin Wolf
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● 台湾、US外交
NYT Oct. 16, 2023
This Is What America Is Getting Wrong About China and Taiwan
By Oriana Skylar Mastro
PS Oct 19, 2023
The G7’s Anti-Coercion Campaign Against China Could Backfire
LILI YAN ING
FP OCTOBER 19, 2023
Biden Turns a Few More Screws on China’s Chip Industry
By Rishi Iyengar
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● アルゼンチン
FT October 18, 2023
Populism is not the way to prosperity for Argentina
FT October 18, 2023
The radical outsider promising to cure Argentina’s economic ills
Michael Stott and Ciara Nugent in Buenos Aires
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● タックス・ヘイブン
FT October 17, 2023
Wealth flight: should we care when the rich threaten to go into tax exile?
Rhymer Rigby
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● ナゴルノ・カラバフ
PS Oct 17, 2023
The West Should Avoid Nagorno-Karabakh
SHLOMO BEN-AMI
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● ウクライナ戦争
PS Oct 17, 2023
Russia’s Defeat Must Be Democracies’ Goal
ANASTASSIA FEDYK, YURIY GORODNICHENKO, and ILONA SOLOGOUB
The Guardian, Wed 18 Oct 2023
The Guardian view on support for Ukraine: Kyiv stands strong, but others are faltering
Editorial
FT October 18, 2023
In the pursuit of small pleasures, Kyiv residents exercise resistance
John Paul Rathbone
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● 中国経済、一帯一路
FP OCTOBER 17, 2023
Maybe China’s Economy Isn’t So Doomed
By Bob Davis, a reporter who covered U.S.-China economic relations for decades for the Wall Street Journal.
FP OCTOBER 19, 2023
The Belt and Road Ahead
By Lili Pike
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● ラテンアメリカ
FP OCTOBER 17, 2023
Latin America’s Tradition of Protest Is Under Threat
By Benjamin N. Gedan, deputy director of the Wilson Center’s Latin American program.
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● ロンドンの未来
FT October 19, 2023
What will the London of the future look like?
Deyan Sudjic
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● AI政府間パネル、インターネット監視
FT October 19, 2023
Mustafa Suleyman and Eric Schmidt: We need an AI equivalent of the IPCC
Mustafa Suleyman and Eric Schmidt
PS Oct 19, 2023
Curbing Government Internet Surveillance
RIANA PFEFFERKORN and CALLUM VOGE
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The Economist October 7th 2023
Are free markets history?
African politics: Losing faith in democracy
Violence in the Caribbean: Awash with American guns
Sudan’s civil war: The return of genocide in Darfur
Peacekeeping in Somalia: Mission unaccomplished
Egypt’s election: Deaf on the Nile
Homeland economics: Redividing the world
Charlemagne: The migrant paradox
The coups will continue: Africa’s broken politics
Buttonwood: Hidden dragon
Global warming: Green light
（コメント） 市場自由化、グローバリゼーションは、EUだけでなく、US、アフリカや南米、ユーラシア大陸でも、もはや信用を失い、逆転するための大規模な政策転換が始まっています。「自由市場」は死語になるのか。
カリブ海諸国にあふれる銃器、アフリカの独裁と暴力に圧倒されます。選挙は民主主義の理想を実現しませんでした。それを助けるはずのアメリカは、グローバリゼーションより、中国の台頭とトランプを恐れて、莫大な補助金を再工業化に費やします。
中国との断絶や温暖化阻止の過程で、自由市場を再発見する、と考えます。
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IPEの想像力 10/23/2023
市民的な秩序を回復するために、なんとかしてテロや空爆をやめさせたい。国連総会や安保理、あるいは、アメリカ外交にも、解決を期待できないのであれば、どうしたらよいのか。
私は考えました。政府と民間からなる国際義勇軍を組織し、ガザ地区の北から、およそ10キロ余りの非常線を張って、ハマス兵士の拘束と排除とを進めます。非常線は、市民生活を守ることを宣言し、少しずつ南下していきます。銃器を没収し、軍事拠点を封鎖しながら、非暴力の支援活動や市民生活を損なわないよう、各地区の市民代表たちが確認します。
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The Economistの記事は、アフリカのクーデタ地帯が拡大しており（ギニア、スーダン、マリ、ブルキナファソ、ナイジェリア、チャド、そして中央アフリカ共和国、ウガンダ、コンゴ民主共和国へ）、それを抑える仕組みや勢力がないことを懸念します。
人口の半分以上が若者であり、彼・彼女たちは独裁者を倒した後、改善されない経済状態、食糧の価格高騰、特に、十分な雇用機会がないことで、民主主義への失望を強めています。ポピュリストや軍事政権が経済運営を改善するとは思えません。
アフリカが急速に戦争・内戦を抜け出し、民主的な統治、積極的な投資と雇用によって経済成長を実現するようになった。そういう記事を読んだのは、何年くらい前のことだったか。
食糧生産や環境問題にも、革新的な方法で、新興諸国が取り組み始めた。旧工業諸国や老人大国には受入れがむつかしい投資でも、それを積極的に成長の機会にできる国がある。そういう記事も読みました。
安全と教育への投資に全力で取り組む、民主的な指導者のいる都市や地域に、輸出向けの生産拠点が雇用を拡大するとき、アフリカ全体のダイナミズムがもたらす雇用や利益を全世界が享受できます。
平和と民主主義を支持する土地と、ダイナミックな企業を探して、投資情報を集めるエンジェル投資家集団が民間資本の流れを促進するような国際システムに変わっていく。そういう記事も読みました。
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富裕諸国は移民・難民危機を再現しています。移民排斥の声が高まり、難民たちのボートは地中海を漂流し、難破して多くの犠牲者が出ています。
イギリスの保守政権は難民をルワンダに移送し始めています。イタリア右派政権は難民を海岸線で阻止するため、EUとしての国境警備隊を拡充し、欧州委員会とともにアフリカ側の協力を得るため政府への資金供与を約束しました。
ヨーロッパの抱える問題は、少子化、高齢化、労働力不足です。医療サービスや高齢者の介護は、ますます移民労働者に依存を深めています。難民ではなく、労働者として、受け入れる制度的条件があれば、働きたいと思う難民たちが多くいると思います。
将来、ヨーロッパや日本の高齢者たちが暮らす村や町は、成長する新興都市や諸国のダイナミックな変化に参加する若者たちからの税金で維持されるでしょう。あるいは、高齢者たちを生活費や介護サービスの安価な土地へ輸出します。
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世の中のことに倦み、疲れたとき、池波正太郎の『鬼平犯科帳』を読み、あるいは『剣客商売』、『仕掛人・藤枝梅安』を読みます。忘れたころに、何度も。
ガザ地区にも、イスラエル兵士30万人が侵攻するより、鬼平を100人派遣する方がよいでしょう。その部下には、宗派や部族に関わらず、鬼平を信頼して社会正義に奉仕する者たちが集まります。
市民秩序のための非常線。それは、TEDでブライアン・スティーブンソンが語った夢想、黒人の若い被告男性を裕福な白人の高齢男性に変身させること、に少し似ているかもしれません。
「司法の不公正について話さなければなりません」
http://www.ted.com/talks/bryan_stevenson_we_need_to_talk_about_an_injustice.html
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