今週のReview
7/18-23
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ボリス・ジョンソンの遺産 ・・・保守党の新指導者 ・・・安倍晋三の遺産 ・・・インフレーションの社会的起源 ・・・商品市場、債務危機 ・・・プーチンの戦争 ・・・米中冷戦 ・・・UK経済 ・・・民主主義の腐食 ・・・金融引締め ・・・US最高裁 ・・・ヨーロッパの分裂 ・・・スリランカの体制崩壊 ・・・バイデンの中東政策転換 ・・・NATOから秩序再設計へ ・・・食糧生産 ・・・ウクライナ戦争 ・・・世界経済のブロック化
［Review関連コラム集］
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主要な出典 FP: Foreign Policy, FT: Financial Times, The Guardian, NYT: New York Times, PS: Project Syndicate, SPIEGEL International, VOX: VoxEU.orgそして、The Economist (London)
［これは英文コラムの紹介です．私の関心に従って，Google翻訳を基に修正し、要点を紹介しています．正しい内容は必ず自分で確かめてください．著者と掲載機関の著作権に従います．］
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● ボリス・ジョンソンの遺産
NYT July 7, 2022
The Delightful Implosion of Boris Johnson
By Michelle Goldberg
The Guardian, Fri 8 Jul 2022
Boris Johnson has vandalised the political architecture of Britain, Ireland and Europe
Fintan O’Toole
FT July 8, 2022
Post-Johnson Britain must reset relations with Europe
Timothy Garton Ash
PS Jul 8, 2022
Boris Johnson Leaves Behind a Sterling Mess
BARRY EICHENGREEN
NYT July 8, 2022
Boris Johnson Leaves a Mixed Legacy With His Brexit Gambit
By Peter Coy
NYT July 8, 2022
Boris Johnson Was Just Being Boris Johnson
By Andrew Neil
The Guardian, Sat 9 Jul 2022
With him right until the very end, the Tory press who loved Johnson as one of their own
Nick Cohen
FT July 9, 2022
After the fall: the legacy of Boris Johnson
George Parker in London
The Observer, Sun 10 Jul 2022
The Observer view on Boris Johnson’s baleful legacy
Observer editorial
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● 保守党の新指導者
FT July 8, 2022
Britain needs a clean break from the reckless Boris Johnson premiership
Camilla Cavendish
The Guardian, Sun 10 Jul 2022
The lesson from Johnson’s tenure – British politics needs dragging into the 21st century
John Harris
FT July 10, 2022
Lucky Starmer can reap rewards from the Tory leadership race
John McTernan
NYT July 11, 2022
The Race for a New Conservative Leader Is On. Not So Fast.
By Frances Ryan
The Guardian, Tue 12 Jul 2022
Why the Labour party is praying for the Tories not to vote for Rishi Sunak
Simon Jenkins
FT July 12, 2022
Can the Conservatives change to win again?
Stephen Bush
NYT July 12, 2022
The Prime Minister Britain Needs Now
By Bret Stephens
The Guardian, Wed 13 Jul 2022
The Guardian view on the Tory contenders: a parade of denial
Editorial
FT July 13, 2022
Conservatives must rediscover their instinctive pragmatism
Philip Stephens
FP JULY 13, 2022
Will British Security Policy Take a New Turn After Boris Johnson?
By Edward Lucas, a nonresident fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis.
FT July 14, 2022
How Johnson finally sabotaged the Eton-Oxford establishment
Simon Kuper
FT July 15, 2022
The most interesting candidates in the Tory leadership race won’t win
Sebastian Payne
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● 安倍晋三の遺産
FT July 8, 2022
Shinzo Abe, influential Japanese prime minister, 1954-2022
Leo Lewis and Kana Inagaki
PS Jul 8, 2022
How Abe Changed Japan
BILL EMMOTT
FP JULY 8, 2022
How Shinzo Abe Changed Japan
By Tobias Harris, a senior fellow for Asia at the Center for American Progress.
FP JULY 8, 2022
Abe’s Legacy Will Outlive Him
By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter, and Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy.
FT July 9, 2022
Shinzo Abe restored Japan’s place on the world stage
NYT July 9, 2022
The Postwar Japan That Shinzo Abe Built
By Tobias Harris
FT July 10, 2022
What Shinzo Abe’s assassination means for ‘Pax Japonica’
Leo Lewis
FP JULY 11, 2022
Election Victories Empower Kishida’s Agenda for Japan
By William Sposato, a Tokyo-based journalist.
The Guardian, Tue 12 Jul 2022
Shinzo Abe is gone, but his controversial vision for Japan lives on
Jeff Kingston
PS Jul 12, 2022
Abe Shinzō’s Unmatched Legacy
TAKATOSHI ITO
FP JULY 14, 2022
Abe’s Nationalism Is His Most Toxic Legacy
By S. Nathan Park, a Washington-based attorney and nonresident fellow of the Sejong Institute.
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● カリーニングラード
FT July 8, 2022
War tensions over Kaliningrad displace the ghosts of East Prussia
Max Egremont
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● インフレーションの社会的起源
NYT July 7, 2022
That Was the Stagflation That Was
By Paul Krugman
FT July 8, 2022
Uncomfortable echoes of the 1970s
Merryn Somerset Webb
PS Jul 8, 2022
An Inflation-Adjusted Social Contract for Europe
DANIEL GROS
PS Jul 8, 2022
Inflation Dos and Don’ts
JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ, DEAN BAKER
FT July 10, 2022
Why a higher inflation regime will eventually be good for investors
Karen Ward
FP JULY 11, 2022
Why This Isn’t an Economic Crisis
By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy.
FT July 13, 2022
Inflation is a political challenge as well as an economic one
Martin Wolf
PS Jul 13, 2022
The Inflationary Consequences of Deglobalization
SHANG-JIN WEI, TAO WANG
FT July 14, 2022
US inflation surge signals tough times ahead
Mohamed El-Erian
FT July 15, 2022
US recession is a smaller danger than long-term inflation
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● 商品市場、債務危機
FT July 10, 2022
The commodities slump muddies an already complex picture
PS Jul 11, 2022
The Energy Crisis Will Deepen
DANIEL YERGIN
VOX 12 July 2022
From stagflation to debt crises
Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge
FT July 14, 2022
‘Dr Copper’ has a worrying message about the energy transition
Daniel Yergin
PS Jul 14, 2022
How Bad Will the Developing-World Crisis Get?
Mauricio Cárdenas, Jayati Ghosh, Kent Harrington, and Vera Songwe
FT July 15, 2022
We should be worrying about debt as well as inflation
Gillian Tett
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● US大量殺人
NYT July 7, 2022
Why Mass Shooters Do the Evil They Do
By David Brooks
FT July 12, 2022
The changing face of gun owners in the US
Patti Waldmeir
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● 大量殺人２
NYT July 8, 2022
Air Pollution Kills 10 Million People a Year. Why Do We Accept That as Normal?
By David Wallace-Wells
PS Jul 12, 2022
Achieving Earth for All
JAYATI GHOSH
PS Jul 12, 2022
Why Is the Uyghur Population Shrinking?
YI FUXIAN
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● 中絶の権利
NYT July 8, 2022
Democrats Can Win if They Embrace the Politics of Fear
By Ana Marie Cox
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● プーチンの戦争
FP JULY 8, 2022
Vladimir Putin Often Backs Down
By Maria Snegovaya, a postdoctoral fellow in political science at Virginia Tech, and Brian Whitmore, a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center.
FP JULY 8, 2022
Libya Could Be Putin’s Trump Card
By Robert Uniacke, a senior Middle East and North Africa analyst at Navanti Group, an analytics firm.
PS Jul 13, 2022
Putin’s Global Food Crisis
RUBY OSMAN, JACOB DELORME
FT July 14, 2022
Putin’s stamina for war will test the west’s resolve
Lionel Barber
PS Jul 14, 2022
Putin Is No Peter the Great
VAIRA VĪĶE-FREIBERGA
FP JULY 14, 2022
Fiona Hill: Putin’s Running Out of Time
By Ravi Agrawal, the editor in chief of Foreign Policy.
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● 米中冷戦
NYT July 9, 2022
America Can’t Allow China to Keep Crushing Our Solar Energy Industry
By Robert Holleyman
FP JULY 9, 2022
Cold War 2.0 Is Ushering In Nonalignment 2.0
By James Traub, a columnist at Foreign Policy and nonresident fellow at New York University’s Center on International Cooperation.
PS Jul 14, 2022
Can the US Win the New Cold War?
MINXIN PEI
PS Jul 14, 2022
Is China Winning Latin America?
ANA PALACIO
FP JULY 14, 2022
U.S. Raises the Ante in Pacific Islands After Chinese Swoop
By Robbie Gramer, Mary Yang, and Jack Detsch
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● UK経済
The Guardian, Sun 10 Jul 2022
Why be a poor version of Germany instead of doing what we do best?
Torsten Bell
FT July 10, 2022
The UK economy is stagnant — and the reasons run deep
Martin Wolf
The Guardian, Thu 14 Jul 2022
With tax cuts pledges galore, the Tories are out of touch with economic reality
Larry Elliott
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● 民主主義の腐食
The Guardian, Sun 10 Jul 2022
It’s not only Britain. The west needs honest, trustworthy leaders to deter autocrats
Simon Tisdall
FT July 11, 2022
Johnson, Trump and how to get rid of a strongman leader
Gideon Rachman
FT July 11, 2022
Is the US starting to resemble an emerging market?
Rana Foroohar
PS Jul 11, 2022
The Betrayal of the Left
SLAVOJ ŽIŽEK
PS Jul 11, 2022
The Upside of Polarization?
DARON ACEMOGLU
FT July 12, 2022
Beware the coming wave of competent populists
Janan Ganesh
NYT July 14, 2022
The Philippines Has a New Liar in Chief
By Sheila S. Coronel
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● 金融引締め
FT July 9, 2022
Markets are losing faith in central banks
Philip Coggan
FT July 10, 2022
The mystery of how quantitative tightening will affect markets
Katie Martin in London and Colby Smith in Washington
PS Jul 11, 2022
The Dollar Rules
JIM O'NEILL
FT July 12, 2022
Valuations are turning realistic but risks remain
John Redwood
PS Jul 12, 2022
Mohamed A. El-Erian
Says More…
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● US最高裁
NYT July 10, 2022
What a Reckoning at the Supreme Court Could Look Like
By Ezra Klein
FT July 11, 2022
The climate crisis is no excuse for backsliding on democracy
Oren Cass
NYT July 11, 2022
Even if Republicans Outlaw Abortion, Americans Will Soon Rebel
By Michael Kazin
FT July 12, 2022
The Supreme Court has weakened legal predictability in America
PS Jul 12, 2022
A Requiem for Women’s Rights in America
LAURA TYSON
NYT July 12, 2022
Why Overturning Roe Will Unleash a Legal Storm for the Supreme Court
By Harry Litman
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● Uber情報監視
The Guardian, Sun 10 Jul 2022
The Uber files tell a simple truth: democracy depends on curbing mercenary tech giants
Rafael Behr
The Guardian, Tue 12 Jul 2022
Uber stormed through an open door – now politicians must change the locks
Jamie Susskind
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● ヨーロッパの分裂
FP JULY 11, 2022
Europe’s Worst Energy Nightmare Is Becoming Reality
By Christina Lu, an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy.
FP JULY 11, 2022
The Virulent Nationalism That Led to Srebrenica Is Back in Bosnia
By Janine di Giovanni, an FP columnist.
FT July 12, 2022
While politics fragments, Europe is falling into line on trade
Catherine Fieschi
The Guardian, Wed 13 Jul 2022
The Guardian view on Europe’s energy crisis: facing down Putin will not come cheap
Editorial
FP JULY 13, 2022
Europe’s Tiny Steps Won’t Solve Its Energy Emergency
By Brenda Shaffer, a faculty member at the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School.
FP JULY 14, 2022
Europe to Africa: Gas for Me but Not for Thee
By W. Gyude Moore, a senior policy fellow at the Center for Global Development, and Todd Moss, the executive director of the Energy for Growth Hub.
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● スリランカの体制崩壊
NYT July 11, 2022
A Reckless Dynasty Has Brought Calamity to Sri Lanka
By Kapil Komireddi
PS Jul 12, 2022
The Fall of the House of Rajapaksa
BRAHMA CHELLANEY
FP JULY 12, 2022
Sri Lanka’s Road to Ruin Was Political, Not Economic
By Neil DeVotta, a professor of politics and international affairs at Wake Forest University.
The Guardian, Wed 13 Jul 2022
Sri Lanka’s old political order has collapsed. What happens next?
Charu Lata Hogg
FP JULY 13, 2022
China Made a Failed Bet on Sri Lanka’s Rajapaksa Family
By Michael Rowand, a researcher for the Federal Research Division of the Library of Congress.
FT July 14, 2022
Sri Lanka’s woes are a warning to other developing nations
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● バイデンの中東政策転換
FP JULY 11, 2022
The United States Doesn’t Need to Recommit to the Middle East
By Jon Hoffman, a Ph.D. candidate at George Mason University specializing in Middle East geopolitics and political Islam.
FP JULY 12, 2022
Biden Should Revive the Carter Doctrine for the Middle East
By John Hannah, a senior fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America and a former national security advisor to Vice President Dick Cheney.
NYT July 13, 2022
Joe Biden Has a Saudi Problem
By Yasmine Farouk
FP JULY 13, 2022
It’s Time to Rethink the U.S.-Saudi Relationship
By Chris Murphy, a U.S. senator from Connecticut.
FP JULY 13, 2022
Biden Has a Lot to Gain in Saudi Arabia
By Firas Maksad, an adjunct professor at the George Washington University’s Elliott School for International Affairs and a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute.
FT July 14, 2022
Joe Biden needs Saudi oil but must not ignore its human rights record
Maya Foa
PS Jul 14, 2022
What Saudi Arabia Wants
TAREK OSMAN
FP JULY 14, 2022
Biden’s Push for Lower Energy Prices Amounts to a ‘Declaration of Bankruptcy’
By Cameron Abadi, a deputy editor at Foreign Policy.
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● 資源の呪い
FP JULY 11, 2022
‘The Taliban Have Picked Up the Resource Curse’
By Lynne O’Donnell, a columnist at Foreign Policy and an Australian journalist and author.
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● NATOから秩序再設計へ
FP JULY 11, 2022
NATO’s New Division of Labor on Russia and China Won’t Be Easy
By Jo Inge Bekkevold, a senior China fellow at the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies.
FP JULY 12, 2022
With Finland and Sweden in NATO, the U.S. Can Finally Pivot to the Pacific
By Jonathan Askonas, an assistant professor of politics at the Catholic University of America and a fellow at its Center for the Study of Statesmanship, and Gil Barndollar, a senior research fellow at the Catholic University of America’s Center for the Study of Statesmanship.
FP JULY 12, 2022
Biden Needs Architects, Not Mechanics, to Fix U.S. Foreign Policy
By Stephen M. Walt, a columnist at Foreign Policy and the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.
FP JULY 14, 2022
The NATO-Russia Founding Act Is Hanging by a Thread
By Amy Mackinnon, a national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy.
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● 食糧生産
FT July 12, 2022
America’s new agricultural frontier: vertical farms
Joshua Chaffin in Kearny, New Jersey
FP JULY 14, 2022
How to Feed the Planet
By Nigel Purvis, the CEO of Climate Advisers and a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state for oceans, environment, and science, and Joshua McBee, a senior associate at Climate Advisers.
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● ウクライナ戦争
NYT July 12, 2022
The Ukraine War Is About to Enter a Dangerous New Phase
By Thomas L. Friedman
FP JULY 13, 2022
Ukraine Is Bringing a Big Gun to a Knife Fight
By Jack Detsch, Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter.
FT July 14, 2022
Ukraine: can Russia still win the war?
Ben Hall and Roman Olearchyk in Kyiv
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● 世界経済のブロック化
FT July 13, 2022
No, the global economy is not breaking into geopolitical blocs
Alan Beattie
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● マクロンの挫折
FT July 13, 2022
Business worries mount that Macron’s reform push will stall
Leila Abboud in Paris
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Global instability: Hungry and angry
The euro zone: The ECB’s next headache
Global instability: From inflation to insurrection
Big tech and health care: Doctor Google will see you now
The euro zone: Thrown for a loop
Asian exceptionalism (2): BoJ v the markets
Free exchange: Into a void
（コメント） ガソリン価格の上昇は、中間選挙前のバイデン政権を動揺させ、サウジアラビア訪問につながりました。EUでも、アフリカやアジアでも、物価上昇と政治の混乱が異常気象の森林火災と重なります。
ユーロ圏が不安のループを抑える仕組みはまだ不安全です。世界中の中央銀行が、インフレ期待の再現を恐れているとき、逆行することを断言した日本銀行の、ゼロ金利や長期金利の抑制策が、市場参加者によって試されました。
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IPEの想像力 7/18/22
世界各地で物価が上がり、気温が上がり、燃料も、食料も、ガソリンも、冷房や暖房も、利用できない人が増え、政府への不満、怒り、そして抗議デモや、暴動、紛争、戦争が刺激されます。
スリランカからは、大統領官邸のプールで楽しそう?に泳ぐ反政府デモ参加者の写真が世界に拡散しました。ガソリンを買うために何日も自動車に寝泊まりする人、猛烈な日差しと上昇する気温に苦しむ都市の貧困層がいます。
コロナウイルスの感染拡大はまだ終わりません。中国では、建設中のマンションが資金不足で完成しないまま、契約した人びとから抗議の声が高まります。
アベノミクスの唯一の遺産、日銀の黒田総裁と超金融緩和、長期金利を含めたゼロ金利・国債買い支え政策が、世界中の金利上昇にもかかわらず、まだ続けられています。
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・・・国葬、反対。
過激な極右団体の声を、安倍さんだけが抑えてくれた、と政治ジャーナリストは惜しみました。それは逆ではないか? 安倍、本人は、国民を分断し、保守派を政治の正統に据えました。安倍が首相官邸にいることで、極右は堂々と町を歩き、街宣し、気に入らない政治家やメディアを暴力的に威嚇できたのではないか。
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The Economistの記事によれば、Googleを所有するAlphabetが、医療サービスに進出し、その姿を大きく変えようとしています。豊かな世界ではGDPの10%が健康関連に支出されます。
医療・介護サービス、年金・社会保障にもAIやビッグデータが革新をもたらし、高齢者のベーシック・インカムが実現するかもしれません。農村・農業のフロンティア＋地方再生＋スタートアップ企業、あるいは、地熱発電・温暖化対策・電気自動車への積極的な長期投資、など、ハイテク技術が社会改革に結びつくとき、パンデミックと灼熱の都会を脱出し、不安定・低賃金、差別された労働環境を拒んで、もっと自立した地域経済に、若者から高齢者まで、人びとは新しい開拓村に集まり、暮らす時代が始まるかもしれません。
「ドクター・グーグル、診察お願いします。」 政治・社会参加の高い意欲を持ったコミュニティーが依頼します。
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・・・国葬、反対。
プーチンやトランプが、私兵や秘密警察を何百人も? 連れてくるようなイベント開催を、安倍派の後継者争い、そして政権安定のために、生き残った者たちが「忠誠」を競うかのように参列（参拝?）するでしょう。そんな中で、次の銃撃テロ事件を防ぐために、貴重な国費が消尽されます。
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あと2年で私は退職・引退します。どこかの村に引っ越せないか、と考えます。学校の図書館とか、空いた教室に、私の持っている図書をすべて移転・寄贈し、利用してもらえませんか? そして公民館で、子供や大人のための英書講読、Review解説を始めます。
小さな緑の島や、静かな山村から、それはいい刺激になる、と思ってもらえる人がいたら、嬉しいのですが。
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国葬、反対。・・・あるいは、賛成。
小さな葬儀を日本各地で開いて、安倍を称賛した者も、反対した者も、国の在り方、政治と経済の改革を、堂々と問いかけてほしいです。
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